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  • COZFX: Swiss Franc trading a tad higher in the Asian session

    COZFOREX: For the past trading session, the USD rose 0.35% against the CHF and closed at 0.9942.

    In economic news, Switzerland’s total sight deposits eased to a level of CHF579.0 billion in the week ended 05 July, from CHF579.3 billion in the previous week.

    In the Asian session (at GMT0300), the pair is trading at 0.9940, with the USD trading marginally lower against the CHF from yesterday’s close.

    In technical analysis, coz forex senior derivatives trader Daniel • Moloney said: USD/CHF is expected to find support at 0.9911 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9879; Meanwhile, the pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9960, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9979.

    Trading trend in the Swiss Franc today, is expected to be determined by Switzerland’s unemployment rate for June, scheduled to release in a while.

    The currency pair is trading above its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.


    (COZ forex UK)

    Comment


    • COZFX: Canada’s new housing price index remained flat in May

      COZFOREX: For the past trading session, the USD declined 0.06% against the CAD and closed at 1.3068.

      Data showed that Canada’s new housing price index remained flat on an annual basis in May, defying market anticipations for a climb of 0.2%. The index had advanced 0.1% in the previous month.

      In the Asian session (at GMT0300), the pair is trading at 1.3039, with the USD trading 0.22% lower against the CAD from yesterday’s close.

      In technical analysis, COZ senior foreign exchange risk investment trader Desmond Doyle said: USD/CAD is expected to find support at 1.3020 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3001; Meanwhile, the pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3075, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3111.

      Moving forward, traders would closely monitor Canada’s existing home sales, retail sales, manufacturing sales and consumer price index, all scheduled to release next week.

      The currency pair is trading below its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.


      (COZ forex UK)

      Comment


      • COZFX: Japan recorded a merchandise (total) trade surplus in June

        COZFOREX: For the past trading session, the USD declined 0.27% against the JPY and closed at 107.96.

        In the Asian session (at GMT0300), the pair is trading at 107.74, with the USD trading 0.20% lower against the JPY from yesterday’s close.

        Overnight data showed that Japan posted a merchandise (total) trade surplus of ¥589.5 billion in June, following a revised deficit of ¥968.3 billion in the previous month. Markets had expected the nations to post a surplus of ¥403.5 billion.

        In technical analysis, COZforex foreign currency senior currency strategist, Paul Chew said: USD/JPY is expected to find support at 107.48 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 107.22; Meanwhile, the pair is expected to find its first resistance at 108.16, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 108.58.

        Looking ahead, investors would await Japan’s National consumer price index for June, scheduled to release overnight.

        The currency pair is trading below its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.


        (COZ forex UK)

        Comment


        • COZFX: Crude oil trading higher, ahead of API’s weekly crude oil stockpiles data

          COZFOREX: For the past trading session, Crude Oil declined 0.12% against the USD and closed at USD56.16 per barrel, after the International Energy Agency stated that it would act quickly if needed to keep the global oil market adequately supplied.

          In the Asian session (at GMT0300), the pair is trading at 56.24, with oil trading 0.14% higher against the USD from yesterday’s close.

          In technical analysis, coz forex senior derivatives trader Daniel • Moloney said: The crude oil is expected to find support at 55.70 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 55.16; Meanwhile, the oil is expected to find its first resistance at 56.91, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 57.58.

          Crude oil is showing convergence with its 20 Hr moving average and trading above its 50 Hr moving average.


          (COZ forex UK)

          Comment


          • COZFX: ECB left its interest rate unchanged at 0.00%; signals further stimulus

            COZforex: For the past trading session, the EUR slightly rose against the USD and closed at 1.1146.

            The European Central Bank left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.00% and indicated that interest rates would remain at the current low level throughout the first half of 2020. Further, the central bank notified its plan to restart its bond-buying program in order to boost the country’s economic growth. In a statement post-meeting, the ECB President Mario Draghi, highlighted the need for significant stimulus for the euro area economy, to ensure that financial conditions remain very favourable and support the euro area expansion. Further, he stated that growth is set to slow in the second and third quarters, citing ongoing global trade tensions, and hence, a rebound in the second half of the year is less likely.

            In economic news, Germany’s Ifo business climate index fell to a level of 95.7 in July, more than market expectations for a decline to a level of 97.2. The index had registered a revised reading of 97.50 in the previous month. Moreover, the nation’s Ifo business expectations index unexpectedly slid to a decade low level of 92.2 in July, compared to a revised level of 94.0. Further, the Ifo current assessment index declined to a level of 99.4 in July, surpassing market consensus for a drop to a level of 100.4. The index had recorded a revised level of 101.1 in the previous month.

            In the US, data showed that the advance goods trade deficit narrowed to $74.20 billion in June, following a revised deficit of $75.00 billion in the prior month. Market participants had anticipated the nation to post a deficit of $72.5 billion.

            In technical analysis, COZFX strategist Nigel Boynton said: EUR/USD is expected to find support at 1.1104 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1060; Meanwhile, the pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1190, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1232.

            Amid lack of macroeconomic releases in the Euro-zone today, traders would keep an eye on the US annualised gross domestic product for the second quarter, set to release later in the day.


            (COZ forex UK)

            Comment


            • COZFX: Australia’s AIG performance of manufacturing index climbed in July

              COZforex: For the past trading session, the AUD declined 0.37% against the USD and closed at 0.6849.

              In commodities, LME Copper prices declined 0.3% or $17.0/MT to $5926.0/MT; Meanwhile, Aluminum prices declined 0.3% or $5.0/MT to $1776.5/MT.

              In the Asian session (at GMT0300), the pair is trading at 0.6852, with the AUD trading slightly higher against the USD from yesterday’s close.

              Overnight data showed that Australia’s AIG performance of manufacturing index jumped to a level of 51.3 in July, following a reading of 49.4 in the prior month. Moreover, the CBA manufacturing PMI rose to a level of 51.6 in July, compared to a reading of 51.4 in the prior month.

              Meanwhile, in China, Australia’s largest trading partner, the Caixin manufacturing PMI climbed more-than-expected to 49.90 in July, compared to a reading of 49.40 in the previous month.

              In technical analysis, COZFX strategist Nigel Boynton said: AUD/USD is expected to find support at 0.6820 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6789; Meanwhile, the pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6891, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6931.

              Going forward, traders would await Australia’s producer price index for the second quarter and retail sales for June, scheduled to release overnight.

              The currency pair is trading below its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.


              (COZ forex UK)

              Comment


              • COZFX: UK’s construction PMI rose less than market forecast in July

                COZFOREX: For the past trading session, the GBP rose 0.24% against the USD and closed at 1.2152 on Friday.

                Data showed that UK’s construction PMI rose to a level of 45.3 in July, less than market consensus for a rise to a level of 46.0. In the prior month, the PMI had recorded a reading of 43.1.

                In the Asian session (at GMT0300), the pair is trading at 1.2147, with the GBP trading slightly lower against the USD from Friday’s close.

                In technical analysis, COZforex foreign currency senior currency strategist, Paul Chew said: GBP/USD is expected to find support at 1.2096 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2045; Meanwhile, the pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2193, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2239.

                Trading trend in the Sterling today, is expected to be determined by UK’s Markit/CIPS services PMI for July, scheduled to release in a few hours.

                The currency pair is showing convergence with its 20 Hr moving average and trading above its 50 Hr moving average.


                (COZ forex UK)

                Comment


                • COZFX: Switzerland’s unemployment rate remained steady in July

                  COZFOREX: For the past trading session, the USD declined 0.13% against the CHF and closed at 0.9728 on Friday.

                  On the data front, Switzerland’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate remained unchanged at 2.3% in July, meeting market expectations.

                  In the Asian session (at GMT0300), the pair is trading at 0.9720, with the USD trading 0.08% lower against the CHF from Friday’s close.

                  In technical analysis, COZforex foreign currency senior currency strategist, Paul Chew said: USD/CHF is expected to find support at 0.9702 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9683; Meanwhile, the pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9746, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9773.

                  The currency pair is trading below its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.


                  (COZ FOREX UK)

                  Comment


                  • COZFX: Japan’s industrial production fell less than market expectations in June

                    COZFOREX: For the past trading session, the USD declined 0.80% against the JPY and closed at 105.83.

                    In the Asian session (at GMT0300), the pair is trading at 105.91, with the USD trading 0.09% higher against the JPY from yesterday’s close.

                    Overnight data showed that Japan’s final industrial production declined 3.8% on an annual basis in June, less than market consensus for a drop of 4.1%. In the previous month, industrial production had recorded a fall of 4.1%.

                    In technical analysis, COZ senior foreign exchange risk investment trader Desmond Doyle said: USD/JPY is expected to find support at 105.51 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 105.10; Meanwhile, the pair is expected to find its first resistance at 106.47, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 107.03.

                    The currency pair is showing convergence with its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.


                    (COZ forex UK)

                    Comment


                    • COZFX: Crude oil trading higher ahead of EIA’s weekly crude oil stockpiles data

                      COZforex: For the past trading session, Crude Oil remained flat against the USD and closed at USD56.11 per barrel.

                      Separately, the American Petroleum Institute reported that the US crude oil inventories fell by 3.5 million barrels to 439.8 million barrels in the week ended 16 August 2019.

                      In the Asian session (at GMT0300), the pair is trading at 56.30, with oil trading 0.34% higher against the USD from yesterday’s close.

                      In technical analysis, COZ senior foreign exchange risk investment trader Desmond Doyle said: The crude oil is expected to find support at 55.44 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 54.58; Meanwhile, the oil is expected to find its first resistance at 56.88, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 57.46.

                      Crude oil is trading above its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.


                      (COZ forex UK)

                      Comment


                      • COZFX: Euro extends its losses in the morning session

                        COZforex: For the past trading session, the EUR declined 0.07% against the USD and closed at 1.1083.

                        Data showed that Euro-zone’s manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose to a level of 47.0 in August, defying market expectations for a drop to a level of 46.2. In the previous month, the index had recorded a reading of 46.5. Additionally, the region’s services PMI unexpectedly climbed to a level of 53.4 in August, confounding market consensus for a decline to a level of 53.0. In the previous month, the index had recorded a reading of 53.2.

                        In Germany, the manufacturing PMI unexpectedly advanced to a level of 43.6 in August, defying market forecast for a fall to a level of 43.0. In the previous month, the index had recorded a reading of 43.2. However, the nation’s services PMI dropped to a level of 54.4 in August, less than market expectations for a decline to a level of 54.0. In the previous month, the index had recorded a reading of 54.5.

                        Separately, the European Central Bank, in its latest monetary policy meeting minutes, indicated that the central bank will launch fresh stimulus measures in September, which could include rate cuts and asset purchases, in an effort to address the region’s economic slowdown. Meanwhile, officials discussed the idea of changing its key inflation target as part of a potential broader strategic review.

                        In the US, the Markit manufacturing PMI unexpectedly declined to a level of 49.9 in August. In the prior month, the PMI had recorded a reading of 50.4. Further, the Markit services PMI decreased to 50.9 in August, more than market expectations for a fall to a level of 52.8. In the previous month, the Markit services PMI had registered a level of 53.0. On the contrary, seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims fell more-than-anticipated to a level of 209.0K in the week ended 17 August 2019, compared to a revised level of 221.0K in the previous week.

                        In technical analysis, COZFX strategist Nigel Boynton said: EUR/USD is expected to find support at 1.1054 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1035; Meanwhile, the pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1103, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1133.

                        With no macroeconomic releases across the Euro-zone today, traders would look forward to the US new home sales for July along with US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech, slated to release later in the day.


                        (COZ forex UK)

                        Comment


                        • COZFX: Loonie trading higher in the Asian session

                          COZforex: For the past trading session, the USD declined 0.34% against the CAD and closed at 1.3252.

                          In the Asian session (at GMT0300), the pair is trading at 1.3237, with the USD trading 0.11% lower against the CAD from yesterday’s close.

                          In technical analysis, COZforex foreign currency senior currency strategist, Paul Chew said: USD/CAD is expected to find support at 1.3209 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3182; Meanwhile, the pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3290, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3344.

                          Amid lack of economic releases in Canada today, investor sentiment would be determined by global macroeconomic factors.

                          The currency pair is trading below its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.


                          (COZ forex UK)

                          Comment


                          • COZFX: Loonie extends its losses in the Asian session

                            COZFOREX: For the past trading session, the USD rose 0.11% against the CAD and closed at 1.3328.

                            In the Asian session (at GMT0300), the pair is trading at 1.3342, with the USD trading 0.11% higher against the CAD from yesterday’s close.

                            In technical analysis, COZforex foreign currency senior currency strategist, Paul Chew said: USD/CAD is expected to find support at 1.3316 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3289; Meanwhile, the pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3365, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3387.

                            Going forward, traders would await Canada’s MLI leading indicator for July and the RBC manufacturing PMI for August, scheduled to release later in the day.

                            The currency pair is showing convergence with its 20 Hr moving average and trading above its 50 Hr moving average.


                            (COZ forex UK)

                            Comment


                            • COZFX: Australia’s home loans approvals advanced more-than-estimated in July

                              COZFOREX: For the past trading session, the AUD rose 0.51% against the USD and closed at 0.6848 on Friday.

                              In commodities, LME Copper prices rose 0.2% or $10.5/MT to $5787.5/MT; Meanwhile, Aluminium prices rose 0.4% or $7.0/MT to $1761.5/MT.

                              Overnight data showed that Australia’s seasonally adjusted home loans approvals rose 4.2% on a monthly basis in July, higher than market consensus for a rise of 1.5%. In the prior month, home loan approvals had recorded a revised climb of 0.6%.

                              In the Asian session (at GMT0300), the pair is trading at 0.6851, with the AUD trading slightly higher against the USD from Friday’s close.

                              In technical analysis, COZforex senior currency strategist Ian • Quigley said: AUD/USD is expected to find support at 0.6821 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6790; Meanwhile, the pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6872, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6892.

                              Going ahead, traders would closely monitor Australia’s NAB business conditions and business confidence for August, set to release overnight.

                              The currency pair is showing convergence with its 20 Hr moving average and trading above its 50 Hr moving average.


                              (COZ forex UK)

                              Comment


                              • COZFX: UK’s RICS house price balance rose in August

                                COZFOREX: For the past trading session, the GBP declined 0.21% against the USD and closed at 1.2328.

                                In the Asian session (at GMT0300), the pair is trading at 1.2329, with the GBP trading marginally higher against the USD from yesterday’s close.

                                Overnight data showed that UK’s RICS house price balance advanced 4.0% in August, compared to 9.0% in the prior month.

                                In technical analysis, COZforex foreign currency senior currency strategist, Paul Chew said: GBP/USD is expected to find support at 1.2304 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2280; Meanwhile, the pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2362, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2396.

                                Amid lack of economic releases in UK today, traders would focus on global macroeconomic events for further direction.

                                The currency pair is showing convergence with its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.


                                (COZ forex UK)

                                Comment

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