Adamant Finance - Daily Analysis

Technical Outlook August 29, 2016

EURUSD

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Technical/08_2016/29_08_2016_eur.jpg

Fed’s Head Janet Yellen gave some signals about the probability of interest rates rise this year. This resulted in a significant decline in EUR/USD. USD has got a significant support for the next couple of days. The market will follow carefully US data searching for confirmation of the probability of interest rates growth in the USA. We advise to pay attention to the US Labor Market data this week. It is to be released on Friday.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The pattern that we can see on this timeframe indicates on the probability of further downside movement. The growth towards 1,15000 is questionable at the moment.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to avoid trading as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel. We recommend waiting until the price goes back to the balance line on the Hourly chart.

GBPUSD

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Technical/08_2016/29_08_2016_gbp.jpg

GBP/USD continued its downside dynamics after the Fed’s Head Yellen speech on Friday. MA-channel is tight as it was before the results of the Brexit Referendum. The volatility is low. USD have chances to continue its growth and we recommend looking for short trades.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. There was no decline below 1,30000. It may occur this week as USD has positive dynamics after Yellen’s speech.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to avoid trading as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel It is better to wait until the price is back to the balance line.

AUDUSD

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Technical/08_2016/29_08_2016_aud.jpg

AUD/USD moved downwards on Friday according to the Weekly chart and declined below 0,75850/76000 key area. We advise to search for short trades only and only after the price is back to the balance line. It is better to avoid trading at the moment.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The currency pair went downwards according to our expectations. The target level for this decline is far from current quotes.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel. It is better to wait until the price is back to the balance line.

USDCHF

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Technical/08_2016/29_08_2016_chf.jpg

USD/CHF resumed its growth after Yellen’s speech on Friday. The currency pair trades within a pattern on the Weekly chart and the growth may continue this week. We advise to avoid trading as the price is far from the balance line. Wait until it is back to the MA55 and then you may try opening long trades.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. USD/CHF may rise towards 0,99500 this week.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading as the price is close to the upper side of the MA-channel. Wait until the price is back to the balance line and then you may open long trades.

Gold/Silver Technical Outlook August 29, 2016

GOLD (XAUUSD)

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Metals/08_2016/29_08_2016_gold.jpg

The market participants took into consideration the Fed’s Head Yellen hints on the probability of the interest rates growth this year. Janet Yellen noticed in her speech on Friday, that there are important signals to raise interest rates in the nearest future. Those words gave additional support to the USD.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. Another attempt to break through the trendline was successful and lead to XAU/USD decline. We expect this dynamics to continue in the next five days.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. XAU/USD is still not so far from the balance line. We advise to wait until the price is back to the balance line area and then you may take any trading decision according to the situation.

SILVER (XAGUSD)

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Metals/08_2016/29_08_2016_silver.jpg

XAG/USD did not make new lows on Friday. However, the price did it today in the morning. You may try to open short trades if this break through is true. In order to have a proof of this break through, wait until European session. The price must not go back above 18,50.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The price goes to the red trendline and may reach 17,50 in the nearest future.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to wait until the price is back to the MA55 area and then you may try to open short trades.

Technical Outlook August 30, 2016

EURUSD

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Technical/08_2016/30_08_2016_eur.jpg

EUR/USD continued its moderate decline. The main reason for the downtrend is the growth of expectations of the interest rates raise in the USA this year. Fed’s Head Yellen underlined the probability of the monetary policy tightening during 2016. Personal spending data remain within forecasts and had almost no impact on the currency pair. The price is still far from the balance line. We advise to avoid trading as it is too risky at the moment.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. There is a pattern indicating on the further EUR/USD decline. The growth towards 1,15000 is questionable at the moment. However, we cannot reject this opportunity in the future.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to wait until the price is back to the balance line (MA55 area) in order to open short traders. It is risky to open trades at the moment as correction is possible.

GBPUSD

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Technical/08_2016/30_08_2016_gbp.jpg

Fed’s Head speech influenced GBP/USD during Monday’s sessions. Janet Yellen underlined that FOMC is ready to consider the possibility of interest rates raise during the upcoming meetings. Those hints were enough to give significant support to greenback against other major currencies. USD is on the rally until Friday at least, when the important US Labor Market data is to be released.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. The currency pair failed to decline below 1,30000 last week. However, we still consider such an opportunity in the nearest future.

The downtrend is progressing on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to wait until the price is back to the balance line (MA55 area) in order to open short trades. It is too risky to sell at the moment as correction is possible.

AUDUSD

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Technical/08_2016/30_08_2016_aud.jpg

AUD/USD had some correction allowing to open short trades. If the price is back to the key 0,75850/0,76000 area, there will be a good opportunity to sell from there. The balance line is also in that area. It is better to wait until the correction is done in order to open trades.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The currency pair went down according to our expectations targeting 0,71500.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to open short trades from 0,75850/0,76000 area, placing stops above the balance line (MA55 area).

USDCHF

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Technical/08_2016/30_08_2016_chf.jpg

USD/CHF makes no attempts to get back to the MA55 balance line. The uptrend is too strong and the currency pair can not even reach its balance area. We advise to avoid trading until USD/CHF is back to the balance line (MA55 area). The growth still has some space and reserves. However, it is too risky to enter long trades as the correction may occur at any time.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. The price may grow towards 0,99500 this week.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as the price is close to the upper side of the MA-channel. It is better to wait until the price is back to the balance line.

Gold/Silver Technical Outlook August 30, 2016

GOLD (XAUUSD)

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Metals/08_2016/30_08_2016_gold.jpg

XAU/USD made a fake breakthrough of 1318,00 level and then moved higher. This fake breakthrough was done during Asian session. If it happens during Asian session, it is better to wait for confirmation during European session. However, we have seen no confirmation of the breakthrough. XAU/USD is in neutral position at the moment.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 Another attempt to break through the trend line failed and resulted in prices decline. We expect this dynamics to continue this week.

There is no clear trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55. We expect the tendency to change or to resume today.

SILVER (XAGUSD)

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Metals/08_2016/300_08_2016_silver.jpg

XAG/USD did no confirmation of the breakthrough and went back above 18,50. There was no opportunity to open short trades. The tendency has changed, regardless the USD growth. There is a probability of a new 18,40-18,90 range. The price may fluctuate within this range during the week.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. XAG/USD goes back towards the redline and the price may reach 17,50 in the nearest future.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as the situation is still unclear.

Technical Outlook August 31, 2016

EURUSD

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Technical/New_folder/eurusd.jpg

EUR/USD failed to restore to the balance line and continued to decline as the pressure increased. We advise to pay attention to the important US and Eurozone data today as well as to FOMC members speeches that may take place during the day. Eurozone CPI data as well as ADP non-farm may have a significant impact on the quotes. USD is still rallying and its pressure may push the currency pair even further in the downside direction.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The pattern that we may see on this timeframe indicates on the further decline. The growth towards 1,15000 is still questionable.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We expect the price to go back to the balance line and then you may open short trades from the MA55.

GBPUSD

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Technical/New_folder/gbpusd.jpg

The currency pair went upwards to the balance line during yesterday’s American session. Here there was an opportunity to open short trades. However, further decline was limited to 400 points. You had an opportunity to protect your trades and place stop loss to the breakeven level. You had also a possibility to partially fix your positions.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. There was no decline below 1,30000. However, we still expect this downside movement to happen during the next couple of days.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to avoid trading today and to observe the price as there is a probability of a correction.

AUDUSD

http://savepic.net/8415643.jpg

The currency pair failed to reach the 0,75850/0,76000 area where you could open short trades. There was no opportunity to enter the market. There is a probability of a range trading before the release of the important US data. We advise to avoid trading and observe the currency pair’s fluctuations and the surprises are possible.

There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The currency pair moved down according to our expectations targeting 0,71500. This level is a bit far from current area of fluctuations.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. There is a probability of the upside correction and we advise to avoid trading at the moment.

USDCHF

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Technical/New_folder/usdchf.jpg

The uptrend on USD/CHF is still too strong and the currency pair has not a single opportunity to get back to the MA55 balance line. We do not recommend opening any trades as it is too risky. The price is still far from the MA55. USD/CHF had some pressure yesterday after the release of KOF Swiss index data which had a significant decline.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. There is a probability of growth towards 0,99500 during the next couple of days.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading this currency pair at the moment as the price is still too far from the MA55 balance line.

Gold/Silver Technical Outlook August 31, 2016

GOLD (XAUUSD)

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Technical/New_folder/xauusd.jpg

XAU/USD resumed its downside tendency yesterday. XAG/USD is trading in a range meanwhile. We advise to pay attention to the preliminary US Labor Market data and there is a probability of significant market’s reaction. However, we still have a downtrend although the price is close to the latest lows on the Weekly timeframe.

The uptrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. Another attempt to break through the trendline failed and this event lead to some decline. We expect this dynamics to continue during the next couple of days.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We recommend opening short positions from 1318,00. Place stops above the balance line.

SILVER (XAGUSD)

http://adamantfinance.com/files/editor/Analytics/Technical/New_folder/xagusd.jpg

XAG/USD is trading within the 18,40-18,90 range and may stay here before Friday regardless the XAU/USD decline. This dynamics may be a result of doubts of market participants. They need more confirmations that the FOMC is ready to raise the interest rates.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. XAG/USD goes back to the red trendline and the price may reach 17,50 in the nearest future.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55. We advise to avoid trading and observe the market as the situation is still unclear.