The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

Step One: Unconscious Incompetence.

This is the first step you take when starting to look into trading. You know that it’s a good way of making money because you’ve heard so many things about it and heard of so many millionaires. Unfortunately, just like when you first desire to drive a car you think it will be easy - after all, how hard can it be? Price either moves up or down - what’s the big secret to that then - let’s get cracking!

Unfortunately, just as when you first take your place in front of a steering wheel you find very quickly that you haven’t got the first clue about what you’re trying to do. You take lots of trades and lots of risks. When you enter a trade it turns against you so you reverse and it turns again… and again, and again.

You may have initial success, and that’s even worse - cos it tells your brain that this really is simple and you start to risk more money.

You try to turn around your losses by doubling up every time you trade. Sometimes you’ll get away with it but more often than not you will come away scathed and bruised You are totally oblivious to your incompetence at trading.

This step can last for a week or two of trading but the market is usually swift and you move onto the next stage.

Step Two - Conscious Incompetence

Step two is where you realize that there is more work involved in trading and that you might actually have to work a few things out. You consciously realize that you are an incompetent trader - you don’t have the skills or the insight to turn a regular profit.

You now set about buying systems and e-books galore, read websites based everywhere from USA to the Ukraine. and begin your search for the holy grail. During this time you will be a system nomad - you will flick from method to method day by day and week by week never sticking with one long enough to actually see if it does work. Every time you come upon a new indicator you’ll be ecstatic that this is the one that will make all the difference.

You will test out automated systems on Metatrader, you’ll play with moving averages, Fibonacci lines, support & resistance, Pivots, Fractals, Divergence, DMI, ADX, and a hundred other things all in the vein hope that your ‘magic system’ starts today. You’ll be a top and bottom picker, trying to find the exact point of reversal with your indicators and you’ll find yourself chasing losing trades and even adding to them because you are so sure you are right.

You’ll get on forums and live chat rooms and see other traders making pips and you want to know why it’s not you - you’ll ask a million questions, some of which are so dumb that looking back you feel a bit silly. You’ll then reach the point where you think all the ones who are calling pips after pips are liars - they can’t be making that amount because you’ve studied and you don’t make that, you know as much as they do and they must be lying. But they’re in there day after day and their account just grows whilst yours falls.

You will be like a teenager - the traders that make money will freely give you advice but you’re stubborn and think that you know best - you take no notice and overtrade your account even though everyone says you are mad to - but you know better. You’ll consider following the calls that others make but even then it won’t work so you try paying for signals from someone else - they don’t work for you either.

You might even approach a ‘guru’ like Rob Booker or someone on a chat board who promises to make you into a trader(usually for a fee of course). Whether the guru is good or not you won’t win because there is no replacement for screen time and you still think you know best.

This step can last ages and ages - in fact in reality talking with other traders as well as personal experience confirms that it can easily last well over a year and more nearer 3 years. This is also the step when you are most likely to give up through sheer frustration.

Around 60% of new traders die out in the first 3 months - they give up and this is good - think about it - if trading was easy we would all be millionaires. another 20% keep going for a year and then in desperation take risks guaranteed to blow their account which of course it does.

What may surprise you is that of the remaining 20% all of them will last around 3 years - and they will think they are safe in the water - but even at 3 years only a further 5-10% will continue and go on to actually make money consistently.

By the way - they are real figures, not just some I’ve picked out of my head - so when you get to 3 years in the game don’t think its plain sailing from there.

I’ve had many people argue with me about these timescales - funny enough none of them have been trading for more than 3 years - if you think you know better then ask on a board for someone who’s been trading 5 years and ask them how long it takes to become fully 100% proficient. Sure I guess there will be exceptions to the rule - but I haven’t met any yet.

Eventually you do begin to come out of this phase. You’ve probably committed more time and money than you ever thought you would, lost 2 or 3 loaded accounts and all but given up maybe 3 or 4 times but now its in your blood

One day – in a split second moment you will enter stage 3.

Step 3 - The Eureka Moment

Towards the end of stage two you begin to realize that it’s not the system that is making the difference. You realize that its actually possible to make money with a simple moving average and nothing else IF you can get your head and money management right You start to read books on the psychology of trading and identify with the characters portrayed in those books and finally comes the eureka moment.

The eureka moment causes a new connection to be made in your brain. You suddenly realize that neither you, nor anyone else can accurately predict what the market will do in the next ten seconds, never mind the next 20 mins.

Because of this revelation you stop taking any notice of what anyone thinks - what this news item will do, and what that event will do to the markets. You become an individual with your own method of trading

You start to work just one system that you mould to your own way of trading, you’re starting to get happy and you define your risk threshold.

You start to take every trade that your ‘edge’ shows has a good probability of winning with. When the trade turns bad you don’t get angry because you know in your head that as you couldn’t possibly predict it, it isn’t your fault - as soon as you realize that the trade is bad you close it. The next trade or the one after it or the one after that will have higher odds of success because you know your system works.

You stop looking at trading results from a trade-to-trade perspective and start to look at weekly figures knowing that one bad trade does not make a poor system.

You have realized in an instant that the trading game is about one thing - consistency of your ‘edge’ and your discipline to take all the trades no matter what as you know the probabilities stack in your favor.

You learn about proper money management and leverage - risk of account etc - and this time it actually soaks in and you think back to those who advised the same thing a year ago with a smile. You weren’t ready then, but you are now. The eureka moment came the moment that you truly accepted that you cannot predict the market.

Step 4 - Conscious Competence

You are making trades whenever your system tells you to. You take losses just as easily as you take wins You now let your winners run to their conclusion fully accepting the risk and knowing that your system makes more money than it looses and when you’re on a loser you close it swiftly with little pain to your account

You are now at a point where you break even most of the time - day in day out, you will have weeks where you make 100 pips and weeks where you lose 100 pips - generally you are breaking even and not losing money. You are now conscious of the fact that you are making calls that are generally good and you are getting respect from other traders as you chat the day away. You still have to work at it and think about your trades but as this continues you begin to make more money than you lose consistently.

You’ll start the day on a 20 pip win, take a 35 pip loss and have no feelings that you’ve given those pips back because you know that it will come back again. You will now begin to make consistent pips week in and week out 25 pips one week, 50 the next and so on.

This lasts about 6 months

Step Five - Unconscious Competence

Now we’re cooking - just like driving a car, every day you get in your seat and trade - you do everything now on an unconscious level. You are running on autopilot. You start to pick the really big trades and getting 200 pips in a day doesn’t make you any more excited that getting 1 pips.

You see the newbie’s in the forum shouting ‘go dollar go’ as if they are urging on a horse to win in the grand national and you see yourself - but many years ago now.

This is trading utopia - you have mastered your emotions and you are now a trader with a rapidly growing account.

You’re a star in the trading chat room and people listen to what you say. You recognize yourself in their questions from about two years ago. You pass on your advice but you know most of it is futile because they’re teenagers - some of them will get to where you are - some will do it fast and others will be slower - literally dozens and dozens will never get past stage two, but a few will.

Trading is no longer exciting - in fact it’s probably boring you to bits - like everything in life when you get good at it or do it for your job - it gets boring - you’re doing your job and that’s that.

Finally you grow out of the chat rooms and find a few choice people who you converse with about the markets without being influenced at all.

All the time you are honing your methods to extract the maximum profit from the market without increasing risk. Your method of trading doesn’t change - it just gets better - you now have what women call ‘intuition’

You can now say with your head held high “I’m a currency trader” but to be honest you don’t even bother telling anyone - it’s a job like any other.

I hope you’ve enjoyed reading this journey into a traders mind and that hopefully you’ve identified with some points in here.

Remember that only 5% will actually make it - but the reason for that isn’t ability, its staying power and the ability to change your perceptions and paradigms as new information comes available.

The losers are those who wanted to ‘get rich quick’ but approached the market and within 6 months put on a pair of blinders so they couldn’t see the obvious - a kind of “this is the way I see it and that’s that” scenario - refusing to assimilate new information that changes that perception.

I’m happy to tell you that the reason I started trading was because of the “get rich quick” mindset. Just that now I see it as “get rich slow.”’

If you’re thinking about giving up I have one piece of advice for you….

Ask yourself the question “how many years would you go to college if you knew for a fact that there was a million dollars a year job at the end of it?

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

Great article :-bd

I can recognize myself in those stages and I think I progressed really quick because this forum

and few people which helped me. I had no "teacher" and I learned on my own just with sheer will.

I had noone to argue and thank god I haven't been stubborn.

I'm very young. I still live under my parents and they are limiting me in working in forex.

That's kinda an advantage because even when I thought that I'm ready for real I could only

continue practicing on demo and that really helped me cause I had no chance for loosing money.

I had a system with 7-8 custom indicators which changed every week or day.

Now there are only 2 custom indicators that are actually great and the rest are basic indicators

which are necessary because they are never repainting.

Gladly I can say now that I finished my system but I can't say that I'm done.

Now I must practice fx psychology and it's true that by the time the same system doesn't stay the same,

it gets better.

I've finished my system in about 6 months which is really quick but it's all because this forum (it had about 10 stages). \m/

Hoping to start real soon :geek:

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

My "Eureka Moment" came last week when I realise that you need fundamentals to guide you on the direction of the mkt. As one guru said, "Trade fundamentally, trigger Technically". And I am still trying to figure out the fundamentals.

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

nice artcle. I'd say that there's probably a lot of Fapturbo users who have gone through some of these steps. They get int thinking that it's easy and then find out that it's not as simple as it seems.

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

Agree with your article 100% ... I also started forex with the idea ... I will be reach tomorrow! Little did I realise what it takes. I can finally say... it is a road to riches slowly and patiently with proper knowledge application.

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

For those who are over-dependent on EA in trading, should read the article twice. To be a successful trader is not that simple

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

This is so true, I have been through all the experiences described....A must read for any new trader!

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

I'm in Stage 3 after 3 years of search the best trading strategies for me!Now I can say that Holy Grail does NOT exist and it's always better to keep it simple :D

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

I think even when you get to the last stage, you still learning, there's always more to learn.

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

I see myself scattered throughout the article. I've been at this for only 6 months and have a lot to learn! The comments regarding simplification of systems rings true with me.

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

Well put and probably something we newbies should read once a week. Trading a demo account initially with big stop losses I thought that money could be made easily, trading with real money, tighter stop losses and dealing with emotions attached to live trading, not so easy and you have to work your way through the phases. Yes, look at it like getting an education that will equip you to become effective in your chosen career. It can take a number of years and it can cost a lot of money. You may even decide that it is not for you some way down the line and go on and do great things at something else, no matter what age you are.

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

I'd love to know how many traders in terms of percentage actually make it through each stage. I'd be willing to wager that beyond stage 4 in your article would include only the 5-10% of successful traders.

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

I'm actually laughing outloud when I read that. It's so true, it's scary. I had tons of indicators, many of them I had no idea what they do but I put them on anyway. My eureka moment, I followed the KISS philosophy, Keep It Simple Stupid;

Great article, everybody should read it before they start trading everyday

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

Absolutely brilliant article!

Here's a question....

Do you think being a newbie like myself, reading that will progress me through the stages quicker?

Personally i think it will. I can already recognise myself as in stage 2 :)

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

Very nice write up that I think many can relate to. I think the hardest hurdle for me to get over was accepting the string of looser. Once I was able to accept that this does happen, Then things turned around for me.

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

Great post! Unfortunately, you need a decent amount of capital to be able to tolerate losses before the wins start happening. Also, I would like to know: When do you say enough is enough? There is no guarantee that a string of losses will eventually lead to wins, so I'm still struggling with this one.

Good trading to all.

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

Best thing i read so far, on any forum.

Respect and kudos! ;) Well said!

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

arvacon, thanks for clarifying it.. hope that I will become a better trade as time goes by.

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

"You may have initial success, and that’s even worse - cos it tells your brain that this really is simple and you start to risk more money.

You try to turn around your losses by doubling up every time you trade. Sometimes you’ll get away with it but more often than not you will come away scathed and bruised You are totally oblivious to your incompetence at trading."

Oh lord. This happened to me. I turned my 1000$ account into 2600$ in a week and then lost it all due to greed and poor risk management. X-(

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

Amazing article. I've known forex for 4 years now and recommend this article for any beginner. I also consider myself a beginner because didn't work on forex constantly.

Every word of this article is absolute truth and should be highly noted.

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

Is there a way to shorten the period of advancement from one stage to another?

I will print this out and let it be my road map to trading Utopia........ Thanks.

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

I have read so many books, but I have seen a traders life expressed so succintly. Thanks for taking the time out to write this.

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

thank you indo-investasi... now i become a better trader...

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

Most trader doesn't reach step 2 and beyond. Even with good forex education that still doesn't work. Traders that passed step 5 are certainly not here ;)

Re: The 5 Phases of a Forex Trader

just keep learning with that goal in mind :)