gfs Posted January 24, 2012 Report Share Posted January 24, 2012 The report below shows levels of open interest in currency futures market. The data is based on Chicago Mercantile Exchange Daily Volume and Open Interest Report. Data provided by the report contains Open Interest from the previous trading day. Interpretation and analysis – GainForexSignal Team Euro FX EUR/USD Date 24/01/2012 Last extreme 31/10/2011 Total Open Interest 310,527 Net Marginal Change -5,107 Marginal Accumulation 183,471 Change in Total OI (%) 81.54 The Euro’s Open Interest dropped 5,107 transactions in Monday’s trading. Total Open Interest is still above 300K mark. Since the last decline Euro FX added total 81% of the total interest. This does not include a drop in December’s delivery. The last accumulation extreme in this market was in late September 2011 and accounted for 100%. We assume that this could be a pattern. We might come to the end of the interest cycle soon. The price action remains above 1.30 handle. As we still expect the price to correct, the long term bull trend is anticipated. We still hold 30% of the long position with the take profit 1.3070. GBP FUTURES GBP/USD Date 24/01/2012 Last extreme 13/1/2012 Total Open Interest 190,954 Net Marginal Change -2,427 Marginal Accumulation -23,836 Change in Total OI (%) -11.2 A further drop in the British Pound open interest amounted to 2,427 transactions. Cable has been dropping for a few days now. As we mentioned last night, British Pound dropped over 9% since the beginning of the 2012. As expected GBP/USD is trading higher. We recommend to buy cable on pull backs. YEN FUTURES USD/JPY Date 23/01/2012 Last extreme 27/12/2011 Total Open Interest 164,481 Net Marginal Change 573 Marginal Accumulation 34,979 Change in Total OI (%) 26.39 Yen futures increased another 2,978 in Friday’s session. Yen has now accumulated 34,979 or 26.39% new transactions. The price as expected spiked this afternoon. Given the COT sentiment and large change in the commercial short positions, we expect yen to weaken in coming sessions. Buy USD/JPY on dips. FRANK FUTURES USD/CHF Date 24/01/2012 Last extreme 01/11/2011 Total Open Interest 40,062 Net Marginal Change -423 Marginal Accumulation 40,527 Change in Total OI (%) 142.74 Swissy’s futures interest remains flat. Traders decreased futures open interest by 423 positions. The rate of increase has been flat in over a week. The price of USD/CHF has fallen. We assume that the anticipated top is in place. Expect rebound to test the resistance. Only 10% decrease in open interest will give a reason to enter full short position. GFS recommends selling USD/CHF on rallies. AUD FUTURES AUD/USD Date 24/01/2012 Last extreme 19/12/2011 Total Open Interest 138,991 Net Marginal Change -691 Marginal Accumulation 36,331 Change in Total OI (%) 25.23 The Australian dollar’s open interest dropped by 691 positions. This is a first decline in this market since the 5th Jan 2012. We assume uptrend as strong. Given the correlation between AUD and Gold, we expect a correction and further gains in the coming future. For the full report including graphs please go to gainforexsignal.com Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peterr28 Posted April 24, 2012 Report Share Posted April 24, 2012 thank you very much buddy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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